# HBO Max Q3 2026 Investor Research | PeerLogix

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PeerLogix HBO Max Q3 2026 research: House of the Dragon and Lanterns drove growth. The lineup beyond the two leaders lost share. Read visual findings, dated assumptions and the complete PDF.

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/ HBO Max / Q3 2026

HBO Max / Q3 2026

# Two flagships gained ground. The rest of the slate did not.

House of the Dragon and Lanterns drove growth. The lineup beyond the two leaders lost share.

PEERLOGIX · OCTOBER 9, 2026

FINAL REPORT · 6 PAGES

Published online October 13, 2026

[Read the complete report (PDF) ↗](https://peerlogix.com/research/hbo-max-q3-2026.pdf)

[Download PDF ↓](https://peerlogix.com/research/hbo-max-q3-2026.pdf)

[](https://peerlogix.com/research/hbo-max-q3-2026.pdf)

01 / THE CONTENT FINDING

## Is flagship success becoming broader growth?

Locate the dependence on a few releases. HBO’s original-series gains were led by House of the Dragon and Lanterns, while only 26 of 65 material titles gained share.

HBO Max / THE WHOLE SLATE & THE BENCH

Q3 2026 vs Q3 2025

### Is flagship success becoming broader growth?

Locate the dependence on a few releases. HBO’s original-series gains were led by House of the Dragon and Lanterns, while only 26 of 65 material titles gained share.

All original series

+13.3%

Excluding each year’s two leaders

−3.6%

−25%

0

+25%

Year-over-year change in mean daily U.S. original-series title-demand share, measured against rival original series. Growth percentages, not percentage points or subscriber share.

WHAT THIS COMPARISON DOES

The union of both years’ top two titles removed from both years.

Source: PeerLogix, HBO Max Q3 2026 research report, October 9, p. 4.

[Read the evidence ↗](https://peerlogix.com/research/hbo-max-q3-2026.pdf#page=4)

02 / WHAT IT MEANS FOR THE BUSINESS

## A discovery path worth testing.

Related audiences can help identify where a combined catalog might hold viewers between flagship releases.

SHARED AUDIENCES / LANTERNS

U.S. panel · Aug 31–Sep 27

START WITH THE VIEWER

### Lanterns

What else do these households watch?

PARAMOUNT+ · SAME OWNER AS HBO

#### Lioness

2.50×

as likely to watch as comparable homes

APPLE TV · COMPETING CATALOG

#### Dark Matter

2.96×

as likely to watch as comparable homes

WHY AN ANALYST CARES

Lioness suggests a discovery path within the combined owner. Dark Matter identifies an Apple audience that also watches HBO. Both are relationships to investigate; paid conversion and retention need an operator test.

How is “as likely” measured?

Observed co-viewing divided by expected co-viewing after grouping households by prior activity. The viewing window is August 31–September 27; August 3–30 is the control. Paramount/HBO includes 32,003 U.S. panel homes; Apple/HBO includes 40,982. Each relationship is benchmarked within its service-pair population. Lift measures shared viewing interests, not similar plots or proven churn reduction.

Source: PeerLogix, HBO Max and Apple TV Q3 2026 research reports, October 9, p. 6.

[Read the audience evidence ↗](https://peerlogix.com/research/hbo-max-q3-2026.pdf#page=6)

THE NEXT CHECKPOINT

## A view with a test attached.

November 30 disclosure checkpoint; Q4 breadth review after December 31.

### Evidence and assumptions.

The report models legacy WBD Streaming revenue of $2.922B and adjusted EBITDA of $409M, both conditional on a comparable disclosure. Its $1B savings-to-$15M profit illustration is a streaming-only scenario, not a measured merger result or a company forecast.

The original report separates panel measurements, public company inputs, modeled scenarios and interpretation. Use the full PDF for the financial assumptions, source notes and disclosures.

[Read all six pages ↗](https://peerlogix.com/research/hbo-max-q3-2026.pdf)

RESEARCH EDITION

Q3 reports dated October 9, 2026. Findings and scenarios are fixed to that date. Read each report for its assumptions, sources and disclosures.

## Continue the comparison.

[All research ↗](https://peerlogix.com/research/index.html)

[Netflix Three prior hits explain the decline. The rest of Netflix’s original-series lineup grew. ↗](https://peerlogix.com/research/netflix-q3-2026/)

[Paramount+ Lioness, Dutton Ranch and Landman offset declines elsewhere. Growth in the bench outpaced the whole slate. ↗](https://peerlogix.com/research/paramount-plus-q3-2026/)

[Apple TV Original-series demand share grew, but the lineup still depends on Ted Lasso and Silo. ↗](https://peerlogix.com/research/apple-tv-q3-2026/)

YOUR NEXT RESEARCH QUESTION

## Bring the thesis. Examine the evidence.

A company, a quarter, an assumption to test. Work with PeerLogix on the viewing evidence behind your investment view.

[Discuss your research ↗](https://peerlogix.com/contact/index.html?interest=investors)
